Initial Election Results: Updated x7

The "polls" have been closed since 8pm, and the first and only set of election results for tonight have been released by King County and the Secretary of State. Here's the big races:

I-1033: Failing 56% to 44% statewide, 34% to 66% in King County

R-71: Winning 52% to 48% statewide, approved 66% to 34% in King County 

King County Executive: Constantine is winning 57% to 43%

Mayor: McGinn ahead of Mallahan 50% to 49%

City Attorney: Pete Homes ahead of Tom Carr 62% to 38%

City Council Position 2: Conlin over Ginsburg 75% to 24%

City Council Position 4: Bagshaw winning vs. Bloom 69% to 32%

City Council Position 6: Licata beating Isreal 58% to 42%

City Council Position 8: O'Brien ahead of Rosencrantz 58% to 42%

Housing Levy: Winning 63% to 37%

School District Position 5: Kay Smith-Blum over Mary Bass 64% to 25%

School District Position 7: Patu beating Chin 68% to 31%

Port of Seattle Position 3: Holland over Doud by 55% to 45%

Port of Seattle Position 4: Albro over Vekich by 57% to 43%

Check out Capitol Hill Seattle for updates from the campaign parties.

Quick analysis: Although the mayoral race is very close, it's gotta be good news for McGinn. He's had momentum in the last couple of weeks, so Mallahan votes are probably over-represented in the early results. Plus, I think it's safe to assume that younger, more liberal voters will mail their ballots later than others, further increasing his chances.

Pete Holmes will definitely win City Attorney, and the two city council incumbents (Conlin and Licata) will win too. O'Brien looks like a sure thing over Rosencrantz, Bagshaw is way ahead, and Smith-Blum and Patu will win their school board races.

Eyman's I-1033 will definitely fail statewide (thank god).

The big question is R-71, which has a narrow statewide lead at 52% to 48%. The big outstanding county in those results is Pierce County, but my calculations show it would have to lose by 70% to 30% there to pull the statewide numbers below 50% approve. (FYI - Only a few far-right e. wa. counties have had such lopsided reject numbers)  Update: Pierce Co. numbers posted, with R-71 losing 52% to 48%, pushing statewide down a bit to 51.7% to 48.2% APPROVE.

Update 9:16pm: The other two outstanding counties when vote.wa.gov went down were were Whatcom and Yakima. Whatcom approves 54/46%, Yakima rejects 64/36%, statewide should now be 51.3% APPROVE

Update 9:20pm: Sec State site back up, showing R-71 at 51.1% APPROVE. Here's the geographic spread:

Update 9:28pm: Added port races to totals above